Here is a PRELIMINARY look at potential playoff scenarios entering Week 8.
(Monday update: Class 3A West has been updated to reflect my mistake: Worland is not out of the running yet. // Saturday updates: Class 4A, Class 2A West and Class 1A six-man updates are complete!)
The Week 8 schedule is here.
Class 4A
Gillette: In. No. 1 seed with victory. No. 2 seed with loss.
Cheyenne East: In. No. 1 seed with victory. No. 2 seed with loss and Sheridan loss. No. 3 seed with loss and Sheridan victory.
Sheridan: In. No. 2 seed with victory and East loss. No. 3 seed with victory and East victory. No. 3 seed with loss and Kelly Walsh victory. No. 3 seed with loss, Kelly Walsh loss and Natrona loss. No. 4 seed with loss, Kelly Walsh loss and Natrona victory.
Kelly Walsh: In. No. 4 seed with victory. No. 4 seed with loss and Natrona loss. No. 5 seed with loss and Natrona victory.
Natrona: In. No. 3 seed with victory, Sheridan loss and Kelly Walsh loss. No. 4 seed with victory, Sheridan victory and Kelly Walsh loss. No. 5 seed with victory and Kelly Walsh victory. No. 5 seed with loss.
Cheyenne Central: In. No. 6 seed with victory. No. 7 seed with loss.
Evanston: Neither in nor out. No. 6 seed with victory. Potential for 7 seed, 8 seed or out with loss.
Laramie: Neither in nor out. No. 7 seed with victory and Evanston loss. No. 8 seed with Evanston victory. No. 8 seed with loss and Rock Springs loss. Out with loss, Central loss and Rock Springs victory.
Rock Springs: Neither in nor out. Potential for 7 seed, 8 seed or out with victory. Out with loss. Out with Evanston victory.
Cheyenne South: Neither in nor out. No. 7 seed with victory, Laramie and Evanston losses and Rock Springs victory. No. 8 seed with victory, Laramie victory, Rock Springs victory and Central victory. Out with Evanston victory.
Note: In all cases where Evanston beats Central, Evanston will be No. 6, Central will be No. 7 and Laramie will be No. 8. Here are the seedings if Central beats Evanston:
| Central Beats Evanston | CC | Eva | Lar | RS | CS |
| South W, Lar W, RS W | 6 | out | 7 | out | 8 |
| South W, Lar W, RS L | 6 | 8 | 7 | out | out |
| South W, Lar L, RS W | 6 | out | out | 8 | 7 |
| South L, Lar W, RS W | 6 | out | 7 | 8 | out |
| South L, Lar L, RS W | 6 | 8 | out | 7 | out |
| South L, Lar W, RS L | 6 | 8 | 7 | out | out |
| South W, Lar L, RS L | 6 | 7 | 8 | out | out |
| South L, Lar L, RS L | 6 | 7 | 8 | out | out |
Class 3A East
Douglas: In. No. 1 seed.
Riverton: In. No. 2 seed with victory. No. 3 seed with loss.
Lander: In. No. 2 seed with victory. No. 3 seed with loss.
Torrington: In. No. 4 seed.
Rawlins, Buffalo: Out.
Class 3A West (updated 10-21)
Powell: In. No. 1 seed.
Star Valley: In. No. 2 seed with victory. No. 3 seed with loss and Cody loss. Tie for 2-3-4 spots (and coin flip to break) with loss and Cody victory.
Jackson: Neither in nor out. No. 2 seed with victory and Cody loss. Tie for 2-3-4 spots (and coin flip to break) with victory and Cody victory. No. 4 seed with loss and Cody victory. Tie for 3-4-5 spots (and playoff to break) with loss and Cody loss.
Cody: Neither in nor out. No. 3 seed with victory and Star Valley victory. Tie for 2-3-4 spots (and coin flip to break) with victory and Star Valley loss. Tie for 3-4-5- spots (and playoff to break) with loss and Star Valley victory. Eliminated with loss and Star Valley loss.
Worland: Neither in nor out. No. 4 seed with victory and Jackson victory. Tie for 3-4-5 spots (and playoff to break) with victory and Jackson loss. Eliminated with loss.
Green River: Out.
Class 2A East
Burns: In. No. 1 seed.
Big Horn: In. No. 2 seed.
Wheatland: In. No. 3 seed with victory. No. 4 seed with loss.
Newcastle: In. No. 3 seed with victory. No. 4 seed with loss.
Glenrock, Tongue River, Moorcroft, Wright: Out.
Class 2A West
Lovell: In. No. 1 seed.
Mountain View: In. No. 2 seed with victory or Lyman loss. No. 3 seed with loss and Lyman victory.
Thermopolis: Neither in nor out. No. 4 seed with victory and Lyman victory. Three-way playoff participant with victory and Greybull victory. Eliminated with loss.
Lyman: Neither in nor out. No. 2 seed with victory and Mountain View loss. No. 3 seed with victory and Mountain View victory. No. 4 seed with loss and Thermopolis loss. Three-way playoff participant with loss and Thermopolis victory.
Greybull: Neither in nor out. No. 3 seed with victory and Thermopolis loss. Three-way playoff participant with victory and Thermopolis victory. Eliminated with loss.
Big Piney: Neither in nor out. No. 4 seed with victory, Pinedale victory and Lyman victory only. Eliminated in all other scenarios.
Pinedale: Neither in nor out. No. 4 seed with victory, Lovell victory and Lyman victory only. Eliminated in all other scenarios.
Kemmerer: Out.
| Lyman beats Greybull | Lym | MV | The | Gre | BP | Pin |
| BP W, MV W, The W | 3 | 2 | 4 | out | out | out |
| BP W, MV W, The L | 3 | 2 | out | out | 4 | out |
| BP W, MV L, The W | 2 | 3 | 4 | out | out | out |
| BP L, MV W, The W | 3 | 2 | 4 | out | out | out |
| BP W, MV L, The L | 2 | 3 | out | out | 4 | out |
| BP L, MV W, The L | 3 | 2 | out | out | out | 4 |
| BP L, MV L, The W | 2 | 3 | 4 | out | out | out |
| BP L, MV L, The L | 2 | 3 | out | out | out | 4 |
| Greybull beats Lyman | ||||||
| BP W, MV W, The W | 345 | 2 | 345 | 345 | out | out |
| BP W, MV W, The L | 4 | 2 | out | 3 | out | out |
| BP W, MV L, The W | 345 | 2 | 345 | 345 | out | out |
| BP L, MV W, The W | 345 | 2 | 345 | 345 | out | out |
| BP W, MV L, The L | 4 | 2 | out | 3 | out | out |
| BP L, MV W, The L | 4 | 2 | out | 3 | out | out |
| BP L, MV L, The W | 345 | 2 | 345 | 345 | out | out |
| BP L, MV L, The L | 4 | 2 | out | 3 | out | out |
Class 1A 11-man East
Lusk: In. No. 1 seed.
Southeast: In. No. 2 seed with victory. No. 3 seed with loss.
Lingle: In. No. 2 seed with victory. No. 3 seed with loss.
Upton-Sundance: Neither in nor out. No. 4 seed with victory. Out with loss.
Pine Bluffs: Neither in nor out. No. 4 seed with victory. Out with loss.
Class 1A 11-man West
Cokeville: In. No. 1 seed.
Rocky Mountain: In. No. 2 seed.
Shoshoni: Neither in nor out. No. 3 seed with victory and Riverside loss. No. 4 seed with Riverside victory. Tie for 3-4-5 spots (and playoff to break) with loss and Riverside loss.
Riverside: Neither in nor out. No. 3 seed with victory. Tie for 3-4-5 spots (and playoff to break) with loss and Shoshoni loss. Out with loss and Shoshoni victory.
Burlington: Neither in nor out. No. 4 seed with victory and Shoshoni victory. Tie for 3-4-5 spots (and playoff to break) with victory and Shoshoni loss. Out with loss.
Wind River: Out.
Class 1A six-man East
Midwest: In. No. 1 seed.
Kaycee: In. No. 2 seed with victory. No. 3 seed with loss and Hulett loss. No. 4 seed with loss and Hulett victory.
Guernsey-Sunrise: In. No. 2 seed with victory. No. 3 seed with loss and Hulett loss. No. 4 seed with loss and Hulett victory.
Hulett: Neither in nor out. No. 3 seed with victory. Out with loss.
Saratoga: Neither in nor out. No. 4 seed with victory and Hulett loss. Out with loss or Hulett victory.
Hanna: Neither in nor out. No. 4 seed with victory and Hulett loss. Out with loss or Hulett victory.
NSI: Out.
Class 1A six-man West
Meeteetse: In. No. 1 seed.
Dubois: In. No. 2 seed.
Snake River: In. No. 3 seed with victory or Farson loss. No. 4 seed with loss and Farson victory.
Farson: In. No. 3 seed with victory and Snake River loss. No. 4 seed with loss or Snake River victory.
Wyoming Indian, Ten Sleep, St. Stephens: Out.
–patrick
Worland is not eliminated and Cody is not in. If Worland beats Cody and Jackson beats Star Valley, Worland is in and Cody is out.
Dang it, you’re right, Rawlins. Not sure how I overlooked that. It’s fixed. Thanks.
–patrick
How does the three-way playoff work should the 2A need to use it?
Jen — The playoff between Lyman, Greybull and Thermopolis, should it happen, would be played on Tuesday at a neutral site (probably Riverton or Lander). They flip a coin, and the odd team sits out. The remaining two teams play a half. The winner of that half plays the team that won the coin flip in a second half.
If the same team wins both halves, they’re the 3 seed and the team that won the regular-season game between the remaining two teams is the 4 seed.
If different teams win the halves, the loser of the first half can challenge the winner of the second half only if the loser of the first half won the regular-season game with the team it’s trying to challenge. If they didn’t, the winner of the second half is the 3 seed and the winner of the regular-season game between the two teams (NOT the winner of the first half of the playoff) is the 4 seed. … If they did, a third half is played. If the same team wins the second and third halves, it’s the 3 seed, and the winner of the regular-season game (NOT the playoff) of the remaining two teams is the 4 seed.
If we get through three halves and the tie is still in place, then they go to overtimes. (This is the new rule that wasn’t in place in the 1A 11-man coin flip decider in 2011.) As soon as a team wins two overtimes in one session, it’s the 3 seed, and the regular-season winner between the two remaining teams is the 4. (Well, up to three overtime periods, then a point differential from the playoff halves (not the overtimes) will be used. Best point differential is the 3 seed; the winner of the regular-season game between the two remaining teams is the 4 seed.)
The WHSAA lines it all out in its handbook, too (page 46-47): http://www.whsaa.org/handbook/handbook.asp
–patrick