Playoff seeding scenarios entering the final week of the regular season:
Class 4A
Natrona: In as No. 1 seed.
Sheridan: In as No. 2 seed.
Gillette: In as No. 3 seed.
Cheyenne East: In as No. 4 seed.
Evanston: In. No. 5 seed with a win OR Cheyenne Central loss. No. 6 seed with a loss AND Cheyenne Central win.
Cheyenne Central: In. No. 5 seed with a win AND Evanston loss. No. 6 seed with a loss OR Evanston win.
Kelly Walsh, Laramie, Rock Springs: The No. 7 and 8 seeds and the first team out. No teams guaranteed in or out.
All three do same thing: If all three win OR all three lose, Rock Springs is No. 7 seed, Laramie is No. 8 seed.
Two of three teams win: If Kelly Walsh and Laramie win and Rock Springs loses, Laramie is N0. 7 seed and KW is No. 8 seed. If Laramie and Rock Springs win and Kelly Walsh loses, Rock Springs is No. 7 seed and Laramie is No. 8 seed. If Kelly Walsh and Rock Springs win and Laramie loses, Kelly Walsh is No. 7 seed and Rock Springs is No. 8 seed.
Two of three teams lose: If Rock Springs wins and Kelly Walsh and Laramie lose, Rock Springs is No. 7 seed and Laramie is No. 8 seed. If Kelly Walsh wins and Laramie and Rock Springs lose, Kelly Walsh is No. 7 seed and Rock Springs is No. 8 seed. If Laramie wins and Kelly Walsh and Rock Springs lose, Laramie is No. 7 seed and Kelly Walsh is No. 8 seed.
Cheyenne South: Out.
Class 3A
East Conference (corrected from earlier post)
Douglas: In as No. 1 seed.
Lander: In. No. 2 seed with win. No. 3 seed with loss AND Buffalo loss. Tie with Buffalo and Riverton for 2-3-4 seeds with loss AND Buffalo win (coin flip to break).
Buffalo: In. No. 3 seed with win AND Lander win. Tie with Riverton and Lander for 2-3-4 seeds with win AND Riverton win (coin flip to break). No. 3 seed with loss AND Riverton loss AND Torrington loss. No. 4 seed with loss AND Riverton loss AND Torrington win. No. 4 seed with loss AND Riverton win.
Riverton: In. No. 2 seed with win AND Buffalo loss. Tie with Buffalo and Lander for 2-3-4 seeds with win AND Buffalo win (coin flip to break). No. 4 seed with loss.
Rawlins/Torrington: Out.
West Conference
Green River: In. No. 1 seed with win. No. 2 seed with loss AND Star Valley loss. Tie with Powell and Star Valley for 1-2-3 seeds with loss AND Star Valley win (coin flip to break).
Powell: In. No. 1 seed with win AND Star Valley loss. Tie with Green River and Star Valley for 1-2-3 seeds with win AND Star Valley win (coin flip to break). No. 3 seed with loss.
Star Valley: In. No. 2 seed with win AND Green River win. Tie with Green River and Powell for 1-2-3 seeds with win AND Green River loss (coin flip to break). No. 2 seed with loss AND Powell loss. No. 3 seed with loss AND Powell win.
Cody and Worland: In with win. Out with loss. They play each other. Winner is No. 4 seed.
Jackson: Out.
Class 2A
East Conference
Glenrock: In. No. 1 seed with win. No. 2 seed with loss.
Newcastle: In. No. 1 seed with win AND Glenrock loss. No. 2 seed with win AND Glenrock win. No. 3 seed with loss.
Big Horn: In. No. 1 seed with win AND Glenrock loss. No. 2 seed with win AND Glenrock win. No. 3 seed with loss.
Burns: In as No. 4 seed.
Moorcroft, Wright, Wheatland: Out.
West Conference
Lovell: In as No. 1 seed.
Lyman: In. No. 2 seed with win. No. 3 seed with loss.
Greybull: Neither in nor out. No. 2 seed with win. No. 3 seed with loss AND Kemmerer loss. No. 4 seed with loss AND Kemmerer win AND Thermopolis loss. Tie with Kemmerer and Thermopolis for 3-4-5 seeds with loss AND Kemmerer win AND Thermopolis win (play-in contest to break). Cannot be eliminated in Week 8 play, only in a play-in contest.
Thermopolis: Neither in nor out. No. 4 seed with win AND Greybull win OR with win AND Greybull loss AND Kemmerer loss. Tie with Greybull and Kemmerer for 3-4-5 seeds with win AND Kemmerer win AND Greybull loss (play-in contest to break). No. 4 seed with loss AND Kemmerer loss. Eliminated with loss AND Kemmerer win.
Kemmerer: Neither in nor out. No. 3 seed with win AND Greybull loss AND Thermopolis loss. No. 4 seed with win AND Greybull win AND Thermopolis loss. Eliminated with win AND Greybull win AND Thermopolis win. Eliminated with loss.
Mountain View, Big Piney, Pinedale: Out.
Class 1A
East Conference
Southeast: In as No. 1 seed.
Lusk: In as No. 2 seed.
Lingle: Neither in nor out. No. 3 seed with win OR with loss AND Sundance loss. Tie with Pine Bluffs and Sundance for 3-4-5 seeds with loss AND Sundance win (play-in contest to break). Cannot be eliminated in Week 8 play, only in play-in contest.
Pine Bluffs: Neither in nor out. Has a Week 8 bye. No. 4 seed with Lingle win OR Sundance loss. Tie with Lingle and Sundance for 3-4-5 seeds with Lingle loss AND Sundance win (play-in contest to break). Cannot be eliminated in Week 8 play, only in play-in contest.
Sundance: Neither in nor out. Tie with Pine Bluffs and Lingle for 3-4-5 seeds with win AND Lingle loss (play-in contest to break). Eliminated with loss OR with Lingle victory.
Upton, Normative Services: Out.
West Conference
Cokeville: In as No. 1 seed.
Riverside: In as No. 2 seed.
Burlington/Shoshoni/Saratoga/Wind River: A total of 16 scenarios exist with seven possible outcomes. With Burlington win, Burlington is No. 3 seed UNLESS Saratoga loss AND Shoshoni win; in those cases Shoshoni is 3 seed and Burlington is 4 seed no matter what Wind River does. In all cases where Burlington is No. 3 seed due to a victory, Saratoga is No. 4 seed. Wind River is eliminated in all cases of Burlington victory.
With Burlington loss, things become more complicated. With Burlington loss AND Saratoga win, Saratoga is No. 3 seed and Shoshoni is No. 4 seed in all cases. With Burlington loss AND Saratoga loss AND Shoshoni win, Shoshoni is No. 3 seed and Burlington is No. 4 seed (in case of Wind River loss) OR Wind River is No. 4 seed (in case of Wind River victory). With Burlington loss AND Saratoga loss AND Shoshoni loss AND Wind River win, Wind River is No. 3 seed and Burlington, Saratoga and Shoshoni tie for 4-5-6 seeds (three-team play-in contest to break). With Burlington loss AND Saratoga loss AND Shoshoni loss AND Wind River loss, Burlington, Saratoga and Shoshoni tie for 3-4-5 seeds (three-team play-in contest to break).
Rocky Mountain, Wyoming Indian: Out.
Class 1A six-man
North Conference
Dubois: In as No. 1 seed.
Kaycee: In as No. 2 seed.
Ten Sleep: In as No. 3 seed.
Hulett and Meeteetse: Play each other in Week 8; winner is No. 4 seed, loser is eliminated.
South Conference
Snake River: In as No. 1 seed.
Midwest: In as No. 2 seed.
Hanna: In as No. 3 seed.
Farson: In as No. 4 seed.
Guernsey: Out.
Hopefully this clears up some confusion before we enter the final week of the season….
–patrick
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If Torrington wins and Riverton loses and they have the same record why doesn’t Riverton win head to head? Wouldn’t they both be 2-3?
Sorry. I missed one scenario there. Give me a minute and I will fix the post.
–patrick
There we go. Riverton is in, TorringtOn out no matter what. Failed to realize that Torrington loses any head to head or three-way ties with Riverton and Buffalo die to those head-to-head losses. Thanks!
–patrick
Thanks! My understanding is we can get a 2,3, or 4 seed if we beat Lander and a 4 if we lose.
Your comment about “With Burlington loss AND Saratoga loss AND Shoshoni loss AND Wind River win, Wind River is No. 3 seed and Burlington, Saratoga and Shoshoni tie for 4-5-6 seeds (three-team play-in contest to break).” I don’t think is true.
You’re right on the Wind River part, but in the 3-way, since WR is established as the 3-seed, Burlington would be out due to losing to WR. Saratoga then gets over Shoshoni with head to head.
In the end I doubt it matters, because Shoshoni would have to revert back to last year’s form, if they want to find a way to lose vs. Wyoming Indian.
That eastern seeding battle is pretty intense. The difference between a home playoff game and traveling to the top west seed is quite a disparity.
I might be in the minority, but as far as SV is concerned, I’d rather have a home playoff game in the opening round rather than take my chances with the 3-way tie and a coin flip.
Thanks for taking a stab at all of these Patrick, that helps mellow out the speculation for the rest of us