No wasting time here — I’ve got snow to shovel. Picks below, projected winners in bold:

Class 4A
Class overview: The one advantage 4A teams have that some other classifications don’t is that all the teams have already played each other this season. All four games should be decent: Sheridan beat Natrona and Green River beat Kelly Walsh by seven points apiece in their first meetings, while Gillette struggled to beat Rock Springs, which has since turned into a different team. The only on-paper mismatch is Laramie-Central, which was a lopsided 36-0 victory for the Indians back in September. On to the picks:
(8) Natrona at (1) Sheridan: Sheridan got the job done last week in Casper. At home, in the playoffs, under senior leadership, I don’t see Sheridan losing. But NC will keep it close, like always…. 6 p.m. (Last meeting: Sheridan beat Natrona 35-28 last Friday in Casper.)
(5) Kelly Walsh at (4) Green River: The last meeting between these two teams came down to a fourth-quarter goal-line stand. With both teams coming off Week 8 losses, I’m not sure what to expect, but I think it’ll be another close, hard-fought game. 6 p.m. (Last meeting: Green River beat Kelly Walsh 27-20 on Sept. 4 in Green River.)
(6) Rock Springs at (3) Gillette: The Camels haven’t lost a home playoff game since 1997. The Tigers will give Gillette a run, but coming out of Campbell County with a victory in the playoffs might be too tall of a task. 7 p.m. (Last meeting: Gillette beat Rock Springs 24-8 on Sept. 11 in Gillette.)
(7) Laramie at (2) Cheyenne Central: Laramie is better — much better — than it was the first time it came to Cheyenne. Expect a better game than when these two met in the regular season. Even so, Central just has too much for the Plainsmen to overtake. 7 p.m. (Last meeting: Central beat Laramie 36-0 on Sept. 18 in Cheyenne.)

Class 3A
Class overview
: What makes 4A interesting is the reverse of what makes 3A interesting — only one of the four playoff matchups in 3A is a repeat of a regular-season game. The bracket looks fairly unpredictable because of both the lack of prior experience and the general nature of parity that exists in 3A to begin with. On to the picks:
(4E) Torrington at (1W) Cody: Since Sept. 18, these two teams have headed in separate directions — Cody won the 3A West, while Torrington had to scratch and survive to eke out the East’s final playoff spot. And with revenge on their minds, watch for Cody to reverse the regular season outcome. 6 p.m. (Last meeting: Torrington beat Cody 12-10 on Sept. 18 in Cody.)
(3W) Star Valley at (2E) Buffalo: Could be the best game of them all in the first round of 3A play. Star Valley got the short end of the three-team tie atop the West Conference standings and has to make the long trip across the state… and I’ve learned when it looks even to go with the home team. Either way, I see this game being decided by seven or fewer points. 7 p.m. (Last meeting: Buffalo beat Star Valley 14-7 on Nov. 3, 2007, in Buffalo.)
(3E) Riverton at (2W) Worland: Hard to believe it’s been more than five years since these teams have played each other. Even so, I think the loss to Cody last week wasn’t all bad for the Warriors, who should come back refocused and ready for the intensity of the playoffs. 6 p.m. (Last meeting: Riverton beat Worland 52-0 on Sept. 3, 2004, in Riverton.)
(4W) Lander at (1E) Douglas: What can you say about the Bearcats that hasn’t already been said? They’re good. They’re playing with purpose. They’ve soundly thumped every single challenger this year. Lander is coming off a big win, true… but Douglas is a handful for anybody. 7 p.m. (Last meeting: Douglas beat Lander 19-12 on Oct. 3, 2008, in Douglas.)

Class 2A
Class overview
: Kemmerer-Glenrock again? It sure looks possible. The two teams in the 2005, 2007 and 2008 3A championship games won their respective conferences and just need to hold down home field to meet again for the 2009 title. However, this year it looks like there’s at least a little more parity, with several teams in the bracket capable of knocking off either the Rangers or Herders on the way to Laramie. On to the picks:
(4E) Wright at (1W) Kemmerer: It’s the first meeting of these two programs, and I think the Panthers can give the Rangers a game. But going to Kemmerer and winning? That’s probably too much to ask. 2 p.m. (Last meeting: First meeting.)
(3W) Big Piney at (2E) Thermopolis: Talk about a heartbreaker. Last year, these two teams combined for three victories — and one of those was Thermopolis beating Big Piney. Both teams have had great turnaround stories this year. Unfortunately, one ends Friday. 7 p.m. (Last meeting: Thermopolis beat Big Piney 7-0 in overtime on Sept. 6, 2008, in Thermopolis.)
(3E) Big Horn at (2W) Greybull: If this game goes anything like the matchup these two teams had in the regular season, this will be the game of the week. Greybull barely eked out a 7-6 victory in Sheridan early in the season; now, the teams meet again to see who’s improved the most — and who can handle the playoff atmosphere best. 7 p.m. (Last meeting: Greybull beat Big Horn 7-6 on Sept. 3 in Sheridan.)
(4W) Lovell at (1E) Glenrock: Glenrock’s winning streak is up to 19 in a row… and, for all the potential Lovell has, the safe money is on the Herd, at home, to make it 20 straight. 6 p.m. (Last meeting: Glenrock beat Lovell 50-20 on Sept. 12, 2008, in Lovell.)

Class 1A 11-man
Class overview
: The top five teams in 1A 11-man — Lingle, Cokeville, Lusk, Southeast and Wind River — separated themselves early from the rest of the classification. All five have the ability to make a run at a state championship; none of the five have totally separated themselves from the rest of the pack. It’s that sort of parity that will make the bracket interesting to watch. On to the picks:
(4W) Riverside at (1E) Southeast: Still trying to figure out the Cyclones’ loss to Lusk… can’t decide if that’s the anomaly, or if Lusk’s loss to Lingle was the anomaly, or if Lingle’s loss to Southeast is the anomaly…. Anyway, Southeast should move on, especially if they build off last week’s momentum. 6 p.m. (Last meeting: Southeast beat Riverside 8-6 on Nov. 11, 2006, in Basin; only meeting.)
(3E) Lusk at (2W) Wind River: Another game that’s hard to pin down — and another potential game of the week. If you can, get on up to Pavillion for this one, because the winner has a great chance to go all the way in a 1A division full of parity. 6 p.m. (Last meeting: Lusk beat Wind River 7-0 on Oct. 26, 2007, in Lusk.)
(3W) Rocky Mountain at (2E) Lingle: Don’t let last week’s loss by Lingle trick you. The Doggers are still a threat to win it all in Laramie. They’ll prove that on Friday. 6 p.m. (Last meeting: First meeting.)
(4E) Pine Bluffs at (1W) Cokeville: Last time the Hornets made the playoffs (2003), they pulled off a big upset of Upton in the first round. Cokeville, certainly, will take note of that — and they’ll do everything they can to prevent something similar from happening in 2009. 2 p.m. Saturday. (Last meeting: Cokeville beat Pine Bluffs 49-0 on Oct. 21, 1995, in Cokeville.)

Class 1A 6-man
Class overview
: The East Conference obliterated the West this year, winning all 11 cross-state matchups. Guernsey is the clear favorite to win it all and if anyone else ends up hoisting the trophy in Laramie, it will be surprising. On to the picks:
(4W) Farson at (1E) Guernsey: Guernsey has won every six-man league game by at least 43 points this season. It’s just going to get better in the playoffs — or worse, if you happen to be on the other side of the ball from the Vikings. 1 p.m. (Last meeting: Guernsey beat Farson 69-0 on Sept. 12 in Farson.)
(3E) Hanna at (2W) Snake River: Snake’s at home for its first playoff game in school history. But Hanna, which beat the Rattlers by 40 in Baggs earlier this season, gets to play the spoiler. 2 p.m. (Last meeting: Hanna beat Snake River 68-28 on Sept. 11 in Baggs.)
(3W) Meeteetse at (2E) Midwest: The Oilers’ victory over Ten Sleep last week has them back on track for a trip to Laramie. The first step comes against Meeteetse — a team Midwest beat by 56 earlier this season. 6 p.m. (Last meeting: Midwest beat Meeteetse 80-24 on Sept. 11 in Meeteetse.)
(4E) Kaycee at (1W) Ten Sleep: East sweep? Sure. The East’s four teams never lost to the West’s four teams this season, and Kaycee beat Ten Sleep two weeks ago in a shootout…. Now, the question is: How many points can home field advantage swing the Pioneers’ way? Enough to break up the East’s dominance? We’ll see. 2 p.m. (Last meeting: Kaycee beat Ten Sleep 71-67 on Oct. 17 in Kaycee.)

Also, mad props to all the teams that qualified for the playoffs. Just keep in mind this weekend how hard every team has worked to reach this point — and remember how much fun this sport (and forums like this) is supposed to be. Relax and enjoy it!

As I look at that, I just realized I picked the home team to win every 11-man playoff game. Go figure… so where did I go wrong? What road teams do you see pulling off the upsets and surviving to the semifinals? Post a comment below and let me know what surprises you see coming this weekend.

(Also, be aware that because of the wintry weather socking parts of the state right now, some more of these games might get moved to Saturday. When and if that happens, I’ll let you know here ASAP.)

–patrick

Torrington-Cody preview (Scottsbluff Star-Herald). … Snake River-Hanna preview (Rawlins Daily Times). … Douglas-Torrington (Douglas Budget). … Rock Springs-Evanston (Uinta County Herald).

–patrick

School: Arvada-Clearmont
Nickname: Panthers
Colors: blue and yellow
Stadium: Unknown
State championships: None
Times worth remembering: In their first football season as combined schools, Arvada and Clearmont went 3-1-1 in 1960, the only loss to the Buffalo JV squad. The Panthers later avenged that loss, and also swept a home-and-home with Big Horn and tied Tongue River.
Times worth forgetting: After dropping football after the 1962 season, A-C brought football back for 1969-71 — and went 2-18-2 in that span. The team’s only wins came over Lodge Grass, Mont., and the Gillette sophomore squad. In 1971, the team scored only 8 points in its final seven games, all Powder River Conference losses.

===============

School: Chugwater
Nickname: Buffaloes
Colors: blue and white
Stadium: Unknown
State championships: none
Times worth remembering: The records don’t show any Chugwater victories in 10 games…. So the closest the Buffaloes ever came, a 27-26 loss to Huntley in the final game of the 1956 season, is by default the program’s pinnacle.
Times worth forgetting: The program’s final game, the 1957 finale against Huntley, was canceled due to Chugwater’s poor field conditions.

===============

School: Reliance
Nickname: Pirates
Colors: maroon and white
Stadium: Unknown
State championships: none
Times worth remembering: The 1951-52 seasons were probably Reliance’s best of the ‘50s, as the Pirates went 4-2-1 and 5-2 against Class A competition. Both years, Reliance lost to Superior and Evanston, but beat the likes of Star Valley, Jackson and Green River.
Times worth forgetting: The last two years were Reliance’s toughest, especially the second-to-last year in 1956. That season, the Pirates lost their first three games by a combined score of 157-7, then canceled the rest of the season. In 1957, the Pirates went 2-4 in Class B, beating only Pinedale and Lyman.

===============

School: St. Stephens
Nickname: Eagles
Colors: red and white
Stadium: Unknown
State championships: none
Times worth remembering: St. Stephens only had football for nine seasons, but it didn’t take long to establish a reputation. The Eagles had six consecutive winning seasons from 1959-64, including an 8-1 season and a runner-up finish in 1961 and an 8-0 season and a mythical state championship in 1962. The ’62 team outscored its opponents 286-28.
Times worth forgetting: It took a couple years for the Eagles to learn how to play the sport, though. St. Stephens was a combined 2-11 in its first two seasons. The Eagles scored only 20 points their first season and their lone win was a 7-6 nail-biter over the Riverton JV; they improved in ’58 but still only scored 33 points for the season.

The Wyoming High School Activities Association’s eight-year experiment with power ratings came to a merciful close last fall. The 2009 season was a return to the past — using conference records to determine playoff qualifiers — but did it make any change?

Actually, if last year’s system was in place this year, only one of the playoff qualifiers would have changed: Powell would have made it in Class 3A and Riverton would have been bumped.

That’s the only change, but it’s interesting and important to note that the more common opponents teams have, the less relevant power ratings become. Such was the case this year — with nothing but common opponents in 4A and all but one week of common opponents in 2A and 1A 11-man.

For argument, though, here are this year’s WHSAA power ratings, class by class, with a little breakdown of how playoff qualifying would have broken down:

In Class 4A, it wouldn’t have mattered, since the power ratings can’t really influence anything if the teams only play each other round-robin style. The playoff pairings are exactly the same. For argument’s sake, though, here they are:
1. Sheridan 32.39
2. Cheyenne Central 31.28
3. Gillette 31.28
4. Green River 30.27
5. Kelly Walsh 29.06
6. Rock Springs 27.94
7. Laramie 26.83
8. Natrona 25.72
9. Cheyenne East 25.72
10. Evanston 24.03

In Class 3A…. There is the most room for change, because there are fewer common opponents in this division than in any other. With the East (Douglas) hosting the title game last year, the West top seed would have been No. 1 overall. (Note: All that’s missing is the result from Hardin, Mont., from Friday, which would bump Cody’s PR up or down a few decimals, but wouldn’t have affected playoff seeding anyway.)
1. Douglas 32.82
2. Buffalo 30.88
3. Star Valley 30.50
4. Cody 30.30
5. Worland 29.88
6. Torrington 29.07
7. Powell 28.50
8. Lander 28.38
9. Riverton 27.13
10. Jackson 25.75
11. Wheatland 24.44
12. Rawlins 23.25
Playoff Pairings: (8) Lander at (1W) Cody; (5) Star Valley at (2E) Buffalo; (6) Torrington at (2W) Worland; (7) Powell at (1E) Douglas

In both 2A and 1A 11-man, little would have changed because the systems, like the one in 4A, relies a ton on conference games….

In Class 2A… With both of last year’s hosts, Burns and Glenrock, in the East, the top seed would have gone to the West Conference champ… but little matter. Playoff pairings would have been exactly the same.
1. Glenrock 33.75
2. Kemmerer 32.63
3. Greybull 32.25
4. Thermopolis 31.88
5. Big Piney 30.88
6. Big Horn 30.00
7. Lovell 29.63
8. Wright 28.38
9. Burns 27.00
10. Moorcroft 26.88
11. Lyman 26.25
12. Pinedale 26.00
13. Mountain View 25.13
14. Wyoming Indian 25.00
15. Tongue River 24.63
16. Newcastle 23.75
Playoff  pairings: (8) Wright at (1W) Kemmerer; (5) Big Piney at (2E) Thermopolis; (6) Big Horn at (2W) Greybull; (7) Lovell at (1E) Glenrock.

In 1A 11-man… A couple first-round matchups would have been flipped around, with Riverside and Pine Bluffs cutting their travel down to play teams closer to home in the first round. With Burlington hosting last year, the top seed would have gone to the East Conference winner… The Dubois-Shoshoni game scheduled for Tuesday is omitted here; neither one was in the playoff hunt, and the result of that game would have had a negligible effect on the power ratings and wouldn’t have changed the playoff pairings.
1. Cokeville 33.11
2. Lingle 32.25
3. Southeast 32.00
4. Wind River 31.86
5. Lusk 31.13
6. Pine Bluffs 29.56
7. Riverside 29.49
8. Rocky Mountain 29.36
9. Burlington 28.76
10. Hulett 28.38
11. Saratoga 26.39
12. Sundance 26.13
13. Upton 25.81
14. Normative Services 25.13
Dubois, Shoshoni NA
Playoff pairings: (8) Rocky Mountain at (1E) Southeast; (5) Lusk at (2W) Wind River; (6) Pine Bluffs at (2E) Lingle; (7) Riverside at (1W) Cokeville.

In 1A six-man… without a defending state champion, the conference that earned hosting duties would have been assigned by the WHSAA. I’ve presented both options below. Oddly enough, the four East Conference teams went 1-4 in the power ratings… In either case, the first-round pairings would have been different in both options.
1. Guernsey 33.97
2. Midwest 31.95
3. Hanna 30.17
4. Kaycee 29.34
5. Ten Sleep 28.25
6. Snake River 27.03
7. Meeteetse 24.56
8. Farson 23.50
Playoff pairings with East winner as top seed: (8) Farson at (1E) Guernsey; (5) Hanna at (2W) Snake River; (6) Kaycee at (2E) Midwest; (7) Meeteetse at (1W) Ten Sleep.
Playoff pairings with West winner as top seed: (8) Farson at (1W) Ten Sleep; (5) Hanna at (2E) Midwest; (6) Kaycee at (2W) Snake River; (7) Meeteetse at (1E) Guernsey.

Like I said earlier today, I haven’t heard anyone whining about the loss of power ratings. After seeing this, though, what do you think? Still glad to see it gone, or do you think there were instances this year that give it cause for coming back? Let me know your opinion; post a comment below.

–patrick

Two days ago, I said Southeast could consider it a success if it stayed within two touchdowns of Lingle.

Now, it’s Lingle that should feel good about staying within two touchdowns of Southeast.

The Cyclones flipped the Class 1A 11-man hierarchy on its head Friday night by beating the previously unbeaten Doggers 27-11 in Yoder. The victory is a huge one for the blue and white, a team whose aspirations for a fourth consecutive state championship all of a sudden look a lot more viable.

Clearly, Southeast has the athleticism, the ability and — maybe most important — the experience to hang with any 1A team in the state. We knew that before Friday. But what this victory does for the Cyclones, and what it does for the Doggers, can’t be underemphasized.

First of all, the Cyclones’ defense slowed down the Doggers’ ground game like no other team has. Lingle had scored at least 41 points in every other game this fall but were held to 30 points less than that on Friday. Second, the Cyclones’ offense put up 27 points, almost quadruple what the Lingle defense normally gives up. Third, and maybe most importantly, Southeast usurped the East Conference championship right out from under the Doggers and guaranteed home-field advantage in the first two rounds of the playoffs.

Now, Lingle and Cokeville — the top two ranked teams for most of the season in 1A — are on the same side of the bracket. And, provided Lingle can get past Rocky Mountain and Cokeville beats Pine Bluffs in the first round, Lingle would have to travel to Cokeville in order to earn a berth in the title game.

Southeast’s road to Laramie is no easier, not with a game Riverside team coming to Yoder for the first round and either Wind River or Lusk awaiting in the semifinals.

But now it’s the Cyclones, not the Doggers, that are at home for the playoffs — something that will be critical, especially considering how many good teams are in that classification this fall.

Staying in the 1A East, second mad props to Pine Bluffs, which used a huge tackle from Max Williams on a two-point conversion try in the final minute of the game to edge Hulett 22-20 and earn the fourth and final playoff spot in the East. The Hornets had a 22-6 lead, then hung on for dear life after the Red Devils scored two touchdowns in the game’s final six minutes to make it interesting. And never mind that Pine will be a huge underdog in the first round as it has to travel all the way to Cokeville to play the undefeated Panthers in the first round. Pine Bluffs is in the playoffs — for the first time since 2003. For now, that’s all that matters.

While we’re at it, third mad props to another 1A East team, Normative Services, which earned its first victory in the season finale by upending Sundance 38-15. The Wolves had a rough time in 2009, losing all but one game in their seven-game losing streak by at least 35 points before upending the Bulldogs on Thursday. For the program and the school, it’s an encouraging end — the Wolves had some decent athletes, including a few players who gritted out the team’s first berth to the state basketball tournament last winter — and it gives hope to a team that, because of the nature of the school, is constantly rebuilding. After seeing all the breaks fall the other way, it’s nice to see one finally fall the way of the Wolves.

Fourth mad props to Wright, which earned a playoff berth by knocking out defending 2A champion Burns 22-14. Much like Pine Bluffs, Wright earns a playoff berth only to have to travel across the state for a game that, on paper, looks like a mismatch — Wright at Kemmerer. But, like Pine, Wright is happy simply to have the chance. It may not go well, but at least for the Panthers it will go… and that’s important for a multitude of reasons. And there’s always the chance of something unexpected happening once the playoffs start.

Fifth mad props to Pinedale, which upended Wyoming Indian 46-12 to end the season with a pair of victories after an 0-6 start. The Wranglers’ struggles were a little befuddling to me, especially after the success they had last year, so to see them turn it around — albeit a little too late to return the playoffs — has to be encouraging for 2010. Really, Pinedale wasn’t too far away from making the playoffs: nine points (a 12-7 loss to Big Piney and a 9-5 loss to Mountain View) ended up being enough to keep the Wranglers at home.

Sixth mad props to the Green River frosh/soph team, which beat Hanna 70-26 on Thursday to mark the second sub-varsity win over a six-man varsity team this season (corrected).

Saturday addition: Seventh mad props to Big Piney, which shut out Lovell 14-0 to head into the playoffs on the right foot. The Punchers, 1-7 last year, are officially back. At 6-2, Big Piney is a threat in the 2A playoff bracket, even with a road game at Thermopolis in the first round. I knew Big Piney would turn it around; I just didn’t think it would be this fast. But it’s been kind of fun to watch this year, and Saturday’s victory is a little taste of what the future could hold for the Punchers.

Some other stuff that’s interesting to me, including a meaningless link to the Tetris music videos and the Snoop Tetris remix:

First things first: The playoff pairings (minus Saturday’s games) are set. Click here for those. (Saturday update: The Wyoming High School Activities Association has also posted official brackets on its site; dates and times will be published there as well.) Dates and times will probably be announced Monday or Tuesday for all games, maybe sooner, but first-round games are set for 7 p.m. Friday unless the schools can mutually agree to change. Kemmerer and Cokeville will obviously have to change (no lights), and some six-man games will probably move to Saturday, but other than that I think most everyone will stick to Friday.

There were some gutsy performances on Friday by teams that had to win: Laramie’s big comeback victory over East to make it to the playoffs and to leave East out; Cody’s overtime victory over Worland to secure the 3A West’s top seed; Riverton’s road victory over Wheatland to make the postseason; Lander’s home victory over Powell to snatch the 3A West’s final playoff spot; Rocky Mountain’s shutout victory over Saratoga to make it to the postseason and leave Burlington out; and the victories by Wright, Southeast and Pine Bluffs. What a great week for those teams… not so much for the teams they bumped out of the playoffs… but that’s what Week 8 is all about. …

Maybe it’s just me, but I haven’t heard anyone reminiscing about the good old days of power ratings. …

Rawlins didn’t have much to cheer for this season, finishing 0-8, but the only points scored by the Outlaws in Friday’s 55-6 loss to Buffalo came off a short plunge from three-year offensive line starter Ryley Dawson… That’s pretty cool, and certainly a memorable way to end an otherwise forgettable season. …

Looking ahead to 2011, I’m thinking about six-man and wondering which 11-man teams might make the move to drop down — or if any of the current six-man teams are thinking about a move up…. I’d say that the teams that are there now will all stay, but Shoshoni and Dubois, both winless so far this year and playing each other on Tuesday, should really look at a change. Unless the junior high numbers are really high or something, both of those squads might fit the six-man style better. Shoshoni has struggled with numbers all year and in at least one game couldn’t finish with 11 on the field. Something to think about. …

What drew your attention, your awe or your fury in Week 8? Post a comment below.

This week: 24-7 (77 percent). This year: 208-54 (79 percent).

–patrick

Sheridan-Natrona, Cheyenne Central-Kelly Walsh and roundup (Casper Star-Tribune). … Cheyenne Central-Kelly Walsh and Pine Bluffs-Hulett (Wyoming Tribune Eagle). … Gillette-Green River (Gillette News-Record). … Buffalo-Rawlins and Rocky Mountain-Saratoga (Rawlins Daily Times). … Laramie-Cheyenne East (Laramie Boomerang). … Southeast-Lingle (Scottsbluff Star-Herald). … Star Valley-Jackson (Star Valley Independent).

–patrick

Kelly Walsh-Cheyenne Central preview and Natrona-Sheridan preview (Casper Star-Tribune). … Cheyenne Central-Kelly Walsh and Cheyenne East-Laramie previews (Wyoming Tribune Eagle). … Gillette-Green River preview (Gillette News-Record). … Laramie-Cheyenne East preview (Laramie Boomerang). … Snake River-Meeteetse preview (Rawlins Daily Times). … Greybull-Big Piney (Greybull Standard). … Burlington-Rocky Mountain and Riverside-Saratoga (Basin Republican Rustler). … Kemmerer-Lovell (Kemmerer Gazette).

–patrick